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eCounsel group

A boutique firm with unparalleled expertise in business and technology. We have good command of industrial ecology and legal practice, and have undertaken highly regarded cases. Because the small business scope, we pay more emphasis on effectiveness and efficiency, and choose clients with deliberation. The managing partner not only has extensive experiences in various legal issues more over than 20 years, but invests and manages several technology companies. In addition, he always checks each case rigorously. Clients’ business objectives are our primary focus. To achieve the same in the most cost-effective fashion trumps all seemingly sophisticated legal discussions.

The First Step for Donald Trump

2016 - 11 - 09

What’s the first step for Donald Trump, America’s 45th president? Building a great wall? Preventing Muslim immigration? Picking up a fight with Détente?

這道菜是:「蓋美墨長城?禁止穆斯林入境?修理杜特蒂?」

都錯了,老美也擔心太多了。

從Trump的言談與處事態度,每個人都清楚他絕非「值得尊敬的偉大人格者」。然而,像馬英九這種時時以「完美人格」為念的人,連個小小台灣都搞到四分五裂、連個百年老黨都能惡整到瓦解垮台,在大位上的完美人格算什麼?能吃嗎?

因此,我們的觀察是,Trump那些選前連他自己都不信的鬼話說歸說,明年他在白宮交接後的首要計畫,我們認為第一會是「公共建設」。第二,是「健保」。

本文先聊公共建設。

與一般人息息相關的infrastructure之更新與建設,美國落後全球甚遠。大城市裡的大眾運輸不論是地鐵或輕軌,全是不準點、不可靠、不清潔、還未必能保障人身安全的老古董。在美國沒車、整天靠Lyft/Uber過日子,未必不可以,但那絕非傳統上美國人習慣且引以為豪的lifestyle。一旦自己開車,馬上就會體認到市區路面破舊髒亂、停車費等同天價的問題。跨州出差或旅行?你要不就自己開車、要不就坐飛機,經濟條件還過得去的老美是不會去坐Amtrak或Greyhound的。高鐵一條都沒有不必講,退而求其次,連能和台鐵接近一甲子的自強號平起平坐的火車都沒有!

有了白宮和參眾兩院,Trump要推有感施政並不難。他的商人背景,不會不明白民意支持度是他(和其他政客)打仗的資本。大規模的公共建設,籌措財源是重點,但並非克服不了的「難點」。舉國交通infrastructure上之公共建設,可以增加天量的就業機會(特別是給那些無IT技能已失業、在失業邊緣、或靠著打零工維生的工人)、可以讓許多鄰近的城鎮重新看見生機、可以讓外國(如中、法、德)廠商進來競標比稿(還可以要求該輸出國的銀行對此計畫提供融資,作為拿下案子的條件之一)藉以增加外交上的利基。

這,還不足以讓美國再次偉大;但至少踏出第一步了。打伊拉克?那場仗只爽到國防工業與承包商,濫燒破兆美元,死了一堆人,搞殘了美國人對外的形象,是哪一點讓一般人感到國家偉大了?

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