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eCounsel group

A boutique firm with unparalleled expertise in business and technology. We have good command of industrial ecology and legal practice, and have undertaken highly regarded cases. Because the small business scope, we pay more emphasis on effectiveness and efficiency, and choose clients with deliberation. The managing partner not only has extensive experiences in various legal issues more over than 20 years, but invests and manages several technology companies. In addition, he always checks each case rigorously. Clients’ business objectives are our primary focus. To achieve the same in the most cost-effective fashion trumps all seemingly sophisticated legal discussions.

Loans vs. Global Recession

2016 - 01 - 22

Ex BIS chief economist William White warns of epic debt tsunami worse than 2007

全球恐面臨債務海嘯

前國際清算銀行(BIS)首席經濟學家懷特(William White)警告,全球金融體系日益不穩定,面臨一波巨大的債務海嘯,情勢比2007年時更糟,可能對社會與政治穩定帶來嚴峻考驗。懷特現任經濟合作發展組織(OECD)審查委員會主席,他在達沃斯世界經濟論壇舉行前夕接受英國電訊報訪問時說:「現在的情況比2007年糟。我們用來抗衰退的總體經濟彈藥基本上全用光了。」

“A global recession made in China”

以下將對於全球投資人預期中國經濟前景之分析:

中國拿青春賭明天的超簡化10點例示
1. 煉鋼廠以土地廠房抵押向銀行借款百億,擴充產能大聘工人
2. 建商向銀行土融建融借十億,蓋樓房預售
3. 煉鋼廠員工薪資提高,靠銀行貸款買樓
4. 銀行貸款業務爆衝,行員加薪也貸款買樓
5. 二年後景氣下滑,煉鋼廠產能過剩,裁員減薪
6. 煉鋼廠遲付貸款,要求紓困,銀行減薪
7. 預售未能出清,建商餘屋有30%,為償債降價拋售
8. 鋼廠員工無力償付貸款,30%屋主遭抵押法拍
9. 再二年後屋價跌至預售價之60%,低於房貸餘額,銀行員工眼見房價繼續下探不願繼續揹負貸款,賤價拋售,加速跌勢
10. 煉鋼廠紓困後仍然無法償債,二年後土地廠房被法拍,倒閉,全體員工失業,其中60%無力償付房貸,再遭法拍…..

全球股市熊熊來襲,而其漲跌與預期心理正相關。

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Loans vs. Global Recession

Ex BIS chief economist William White warns of epic debt tsunami worse than 2007 全球恐面臨債務海嘯 前國際清算銀行(BIS)首席經濟學家懷特(William White)警告,全球金融體系日益不穩定,面臨一波巨大的債務海嘯,情勢比2007年時更糟,可能對社會與政治穩定帶來嚴峻考驗。懷特現任經濟合作發展組織(OECD)審查委員會主席,他在達沃斯世界經濟論壇舉行前夕接受英國電訊報訪問時說:「現在的情況比2007年糟。我們用來抗衰退的總體經濟彈藥基本上全用光了。」 “A global recession made in China” 以下將對於全球投資人預期中國經濟前景之分析: 中國拿青春賭明天的超簡化10點例示 1. 煉鋼廠以土地廠房抵押向銀行借款百億,擴充產能大聘工人 2. 建商向銀行土融建融借十億,蓋樓房預售 3. 煉鋼廠員工薪資提高,靠銀行貸款買樓 4. 銀行貸款業務爆衝,行員加薪也貸款買樓 5. 二年後景氣下滑,煉鋼廠產能過剩,裁員減薪 6.…

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